Buffalo Bills vs. New York Giants: NFL Week 6 odds, lines, predictions, and best bets
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On Sunday Night Football in Week 6, the 1-4 New York Giants are facing a daunting task as they prepare to play the 3-2 Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium.
At this stage of the 2023 NFL calendar, an upset victory for the Giants would deal a far greater blow to the Bills, which makes this game exciting as Buffalo moves closer to Super Bowl aspirations.
To put it simply, one of the NFL’s top teams is playing against one of the worst.
The Bills have strong championship futures chances of +1000 and are anticipated to be postseason candidates. But at +50000, New York is a huge long shot (the third-worst in the NFL).
Practically speaking, Buffalo’s point total and potential for scoring will be the main sources of excitement during this game.
The Giants are attempting to avoid their fourth consecutive loss by double digits, while the Bills are hoping to recover from their setback to the Jacksonville Jaguars in London last week.
Moneyline
Buffalo is a huge –1200 home favorite on the moneyline going into this game, and they ought to win it handily.
This year, New York has been an offensive catastrophe, finishing 32nd in yardage and 31st in scoring.
Due to a neck injury, starting quarterback Daniel Jones has already been ruled out of Sunday’s game. Backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor will start the game against his former team.
The Giants will struggle to move the ball because tight end Darren Waller and running back Saquon Barkley are both questionable.
The Bills defense, which leads the league in sack total with 21, has been a nightmare for quarterbacks this season, which doesn’t help.
With 153 points allowed, New York has the fourth-highest scoring margin in the league, indicating poor defensive play. On Sunday, Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs, and Buffalo’s potent offense should have a field day.
Spread of Points
With Jones out, the spread has widened to 15.5 points in favor of the Bills, who are still the favorite in this division.
Buffalo should score a ton of points on Sunday, as was already mentioned.
With their third-highest scoring and fourth-best yards offensive in the NFL, the Bills are among the best in the league. In their three victories, they have also outscored opponents, winning by a margin of at least 28 points and scoring at least 37 points each time.
Nevertheless, the Giants are accustomed to losing badly. Their average deficit has been 23.5 points, and each of their four losses has been by at least 15 points.
Here, expect both patterns to continue as Buffalo scores goals at will, neutralizes New York’s injured offense, and covers with ease.
Above/Below
In this one, the Bills should execute a surgical beatdown, scoring points and preventing the Giants from scoring, thus the Under 43.5 is a safe choice.
Buffalo will score, but if New York is shut out or only manages a single-digit score, it wouldn’t be shocking.
With Jones starting at center, the Giants will be lucky to score more than 12 points in this game as they have only done it twice this season.
The Bills have already shown themselves to be a formidable defensive team, giving up just 13 points in a combined effort in Weeks 2 and 3.
But once the game is underway, their offensive will probably let up a little bit in the second half.
In the end, Buffalo’s tight defense will prevent New York’s exhausted offense from scoring enough points to cover the spread.
Player Prop: Allen will record using his player prop. It’s a good bet to go over 1.5 pass touchdowns (-215 on DraftKings).
Allen hitting the Over in the first half wouldn’t be shocking given how bad the Giants’ defense has been performing.
Allen ought to have no trouble throwing the ball anywhere on the field because New York’s secondary has only allowed two interceptions thus far.
After the offense of the Bills played a dismal game in London last week, they will be wanting to make an impression, so don’t be shocked if Allen comes out firing and cashes this prop early.
After five games, he already has 11 passing touchdowns, and in three of his previous four games, he has thrown multiple touchdowns.
Image courtesy of Diamond Images/Nick Cammett via Getty Images
