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The Denver Nuggets (29-14) take on the Washington Wizards (7-34) on Sunday. Tip-off from Capital One Arena is set for 6 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Wizards odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting. Denver won 2-0 last season.

Denver came into TD Garden and handed the Boston Celtics their 1st home loss of the season, 102-100 on Friday, which is remarkable since it is January and Boston was a perfect 20-0 at home. The Nuggets are just 1½ games behind the Minnesota Timberwolves for the No. 1 seed in the West.

The Washington Wizards are showing just how bad they are this season. They are now 3-15 at home, and Saturday’s game against the San Antonio Spurs was a good chance for them to grab a win; they were 2-point favorites. Instead, they lost 131-127, shooting 31% from 3 while allowing the Spurs to shoot 38.7%.

Washington has a bottom-5 defense against 2-point shots, while Denver (-1000) is a top-5 offense inside the arc. There are plenty of reasons to pick the Nuggets, but at -1000, it’s best to PASS.

Against the spread
The Wizards are on a back-to-back, and when the Nuggets are at a rest advantage, like tonight, they cover just 33.3% of the time (3-6-1 ATS). And that’s not all, Denver is also 6-11 ATS as a road favorite.

BET WIZARDS +13.5 (-110).

Over/Under
Washington is on a recent Under streak, hitting 5 of its last 7. And with Denver posting the 2nd-best Under record this season (25-18), I see another low-scoring game.

On top of that, Washington is 5-1 towards the Under with no rest.

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