Setting the stage this week is the showdown at TD Garden on Friday (7:30 ET, ESPN) that pits arguably the two most polarizing candidates of this season’s MVP race against one another, with Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics hosting the Luka Doncic-led Dallas Mavericks.
The matchup represents the 10th all time between the stars in a series tied 5-5.
It also provides an opportunity for the players to bolster their respective candidacies during a high-stakes clash in front of a national audience.
Tatum leads what should be a well-rested Boston squad with a commanding lead in the East looking for its 10th consecutive win. But the idea of Tatum embodying the argument that the best player on the league’s top team deserves viability as an MVP candidate hasn’t held up as strongly as expected.
That’s largely due to statistical comparisons between the 25-year-old and the rest of the top five in the Kia Race to the MVP Ladder. But let’s not ignore that Tatum sits on a career-high in assists (4.9), and a career-high tying field-goal percentage (47.5%), not to mention improved 3-point shooting from last season (36.1% in 2023-24 after posting 35% in 2022-23).
As for Doncic, it’s the gaudy numbers shaping his candidacy.
But Dallas enters this contest at No. 7 in the Western Conference, having lost two of its last three games. Historically, no player has ever captured MVP for a team seeded seventh or worse, and just three players (Nikola Jokic, Russell Westbrook and Karl Malone) won from a team finishing sixth.
One stat to know: 60.4 — That’s Tatum’s true shooting percentage. Three players (Malone, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar and Giannis Antetokounmpo) in league annals have averaged 27 points or more, eight-plus rebounds and four assists with that shooting percentage on a team with a winning percentage of .750 or better.
What they’re saying: “You can’t tell people what they should look for when they vote [for MVP]. That’s the beauty of it.” — Tatum on the importance of winning MVP at this stage of his career.
Keep track of how our MVP rankings continue to evolve throughout the season.
1. Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets
Last ranking: No. 1
Season stats: 25.8 ppg, 12.3 rpg, 9.3 apg
His case: Four-straight triple-doubles propelled four consecutive victories for Denver headed into Thursday’s win against Miami. Nuggets coach Michael Malone passed off to Jokic some well-earned hardware Wednesday after the two-time MVP bolstered his triple-double with three steals.
He recently joined Westbrook as the only players since 1997-98 to post a triple-double before the fourth quarter in at least four consecutive games. All told, Jokic is spearheading Denver’s push to seize the West.
2. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Oklahoma City Thunder
Last ranking: No. 2
Season stats: 31.2 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 6.5 apg
His case: The battle between rookies Chet Holmgren and Victor Wembanyama caught all the eyeballs, but Gilgeous-Alexander remains the real headliner, despite OKC falling to the Spurs.
The 25-year-old continues to drop 30 points like it’s nothing. He’s now up to seven straight 30-point outings, and his 44 games with 30-plus points leads the NBA. The loss at San Antonio tipped off a four-game road trip that continues Sunday at Phoenix (9:30 ET, ESPN).
3. Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks
Last ranking: No. 3
Season stats: 30.6 ppg, 11.2 rpg, 6.3 apg
His case: We’re starting to see Milwaukee settle in under new coach Doc Rivers, and we can’t diminish Antetokounmpo’s role on the team. The two-time MVP is putting together his best shooting month of the season and he’s draining a career-high from the field by a longshot.
The Bucks have a long way to go to catch Boston for No. 1 in the East, but second place is within reach.
4. Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics
Last ranking: No. 5
Season stats: 27 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 4.9 apg
His case: Yes, the Celtics are loaded. But teams gear up every night to shut down Tatum, and he consistently finds ways to lead Boston to victories. We listed the statistical credentials above and mentioned the fact Boston owns a sizeable lead in the Eastern Conference standings.
But pay attention to the maturity and focus Tatum is displaying. After nationally televised matchups with Dallas and Golden State, Boston hits the road for its next five games.
5. Luka Doncic, Dallas Mavericks
Last ranking: No. 4
Season stats: 34.4 ppg, 8.8 rpg, 9.7 apg
His case: Sorry Mavs fans, but the standings matter. The NBA’s leading scorer, Doncic dropped a 30-point triple-double (his 11th of the season) Wednesday on his 25th birthday to pace a 136-125 win at Toronto.
We understand he’s scored 25-plus in nine straight games. But flashy highlights and massive numbers aside, Doncic needs to lift Dallas out of Play-In Tournament territory to climb near the top of this list.
The next five
6. Domantas Sabonis, Sacramento Kings (Last ranking: T-6)
7. Donovan Mitchell, Cleveland Cavaliers (Last ranking: No. 8)
8. Anthony Davis, Los Angeles Lakers (Last ranking: No. 10)
9. Kawhi Leonard, LA Clippers (Last ranking: T-6)
10. Kevin Durant, Phoenix Suns (Last ranking: No. 9)
And five more (listed alphabetically): Devin Booker, Phoenix Suns; Anthony Edwards, Minnesota Timberwolves; Tyrese Haliburton, Indiana Pacers; LeBron James, Los Angeles Lakers; Karl-Anthony Towns, Minnesota Timberwolves.
