Breaking news. 2025 tadej pogacar fans Predictions: Bracketology projections after calendar flips on….. 

As 2025 begins, fans and analysts alike are already turning their attention to one of the most anticipated figures in modern cycling: Tadej Pogačar. The Slovenian cycling prodigy has taken the sport by storm with his dominance in Grand Tours, Monument wins, and versatility. His every move on the bike garners massive attention, making him the focal point of much speculation as the new season unfolds. Given his past achievements, including two Tour de France victories, numerous one-day race wins, and a consistent display of form, Pogačar’s trajectory in 2025 is widely expected to continue its upward momentum. But how will his season shape up as the calendar flips?

To make sense of the potential outcomes, we dive into a bracketology-style prediction exercise, considering all the major events and potential outcomes for Pogačar in 2025. From Grand Tours to one-day classics, here’s a breakdown of what fans and analysts might expect from the Slovenian superstar.

1. Tour de France: A Battle for a Third Yellow Jersey

Since his first victory in 2020, Pogačar has become synonymous with the Tour de France, and 2025 is expected to be no different. While many believe the young Slovenian has the ability to capture a third yellow jersey, it’s unlikely to be a straightforward win. The 2025 edition of the Tour is expected to be packed with fierce competition, including reigning champion Jonas Vingegaard, who has demonstrated remarkable consistency, and other GC contenders such as Remco Evenepoel, who will be looking to make his mark in France.

Predictions:

• Top Contender for GC: Pogačar will be one of the top contenders, but not a guaranteed winner. His form in the lead-up to the Tour, including the Ardennes Classics and the Dauphiné, will give fans an early indication of his chances.
• Stage Wins: Expect Pogačar to aim for stage wins in mountain stages. His climbing prowess and ability to punch above his weight in the high mountains make him a favorite for attacking on brutal ascents.
• Team Support: Pogačar’s UAE Team Emirates squad will continue to evolve, but the effectiveness of the team, especially in protecting him during the early stages and providing support in the mountains, will be crucial.

Bracketology Likelihood: 65% Chance of Winning. Pogačar will likely be one of the two main GC favorites, but his road to a third win is likely to be challenging, especially with strong competition from Vingegaard and Evenepoel.

2. Vuelta a España: Red Jersey Redux

Pogačar’s victory in the 2023 Vuelta was one of the most impressive in recent years. While the Vuelta isn’t his primary focus compared to the Tour de France, the Slovenian star could turn his attention to Spain for a shot at his second red jersey. The Vuelta features many mountainous stages and brutal ascents, which play to Pogačar’s strengths.

Predictions:

• Strong Contender: If Pogačar doesn’t win the Tour, expect him to focus on the Vuelta as a potential consolation prize. His abilities in the high mountains and on steep gradients make him a formidable force in Spain.
• Contenders: The likes of Primož Roglič (if he’s still racing) and Enric Mas will be significant threats. However, Pogačar’s superior climbing and stage-winning ability will make him the favorite in the Vuelta if he comes in with a good build-up.

Bracketology Likelihood: 70% Chance of Podium Finish, 50% Chance of Victory. Given Pogačar’s current form and potential for success in Spain, a second Vuelta win is within reach.

3. Classics: Spring Campaign and Monument Aspirations

While the Grand Tours will dominate much of Pogačar’s year, the Classics season remains an essential part of his calendar. Pogačar has shown that he’s not just a Grand Tour rider but can also excel in one-day races. His remarkable win in the 2023 Tour of Flanders, combined with top-five finishes in Paris-Roubaix and Liège-Bastogne-Liège, makes him a consistent contender in the spring Classics.

Predictions:

• Flandrien Ambitions: After his impressive 2023 Flanders victory, Pogačar will surely target another win in the “Ronde.” With his attacking style and ability to sustain a high pace on cobbled sections, he’ll likely be the rider to watch.
• Paris-Roubaix and Liège-Bastogne-Liège: Paris-Roubaix is a race he has yet to win, but his versatility on all terrains makes him a strong contender. Liège-Bastogne-Liège, a race Pogačar has already won, remains a key target for him.

Bracketology Likelihood: 50% Chance of Winning Flanders, 40% Chance of Roubaix Podium, 60% Chance of Liège Podium. Pogačar’s versatility makes him a major threat in the Classics season, with several victories on the horizon.

4. World Championships: A Rainbow Jersey Opportunity

Pogačar’s skill set as a complete rider, capable of both explosive attacks and sustained efforts, makes him a prime contender for the World Championships. Although the race profile changes year-to-year, a course suited to his abilities (hilly or mountainous) would place him firmly in contention.

Predictions:

• Chasing the Rainbow Jersey: Pogačar will undoubtedly target the World Championships in 2025. With his ability to excel in both the mountains and on punchy climbs, he could emerge as one of the favorites for the road race.
• Key Competitors: Riders like Evenepoel, Filippo Ganna, and Mathieu van der Poel will be the biggest threats. But Pogačar’s race IQ and attacking style make him a formidable force, especially on a challenging course.

Bracketology Likelihood: 50% Chance of Podium, 30% Chance of Victory. The unpredictability of the course and competition will make this a tough target for Pogačar, but he will definitely be one of the top riders to watch.

5. The Giro d’Italia: A Potential Opportunity?

Although Pogačar hasn’t raced the Giro extensively, there’s always a chance that the 2025 season could see him taking part in Italy’s Grand Tour. However, this seems less likely compared to the Tour de France and Vuelta, as Pogačar’s primary focus will likely remain on those two races.

Predictions:

• Not a Primary Target: If Pogačar does ride the Giro, it will likely be in a supporting role or for a stage victory rather than aiming for the GC. Given the difficulty of the race and his priorities elsewhere, the Giro will likely take a backseat for the Slovenian star.

Bracketology Likelihood: 10% Chance of Giro Participation. Given Pogačar’s heavy schedule and the intensity of the Grand Tours, his participation in the Giro is unlikely unless he is targeting specific stage wins.

6. Overall Assessment: Pogačar’s 2025 Season

As we look at Tadej Pogačar’s potential achievements in 2025, it’s clear that he will continue to dominate in the sport. His combination of versatility, climbing prowess, and all-around skills makes him one of the most formidable riders in the peloton. While the competition will be fierce, Pogačar has consistently demonstrated that he is capable of rising to the challenge.

Overall 2025 Projections:

• Grand Tour Victories: A win in either the Tour de France or the Vuelta remains a strong possibility, with a 60-70% chance of podium finishes in both races. His odds of winning are slightly higher in the Vuelta.
• Classics Victories: Expect him to win at least one major Classic, especially the Tour of Flanders or Liège-Bastogne-Liège, with a solid chance at a podium in Paris-Roubaix.
• World Championships: Pogačar has a solid chance to win a podium finish, though a victory may be more challenging given the strong competition.

Bracketology Likelihood Summary: Pogačar will likely have another remarkable season in 2025, with podiums across multiple disciplines. His primary focus will be the Tour de France, but he will also be a major contender in the Classics and World Championships.